Ironically, the success
of Chile’s economy, the fastest growing in South America during the
1990s, stems from the blackest moments
of its history. A country of long democratic traditions, in 1973,
Chile saw one of the bloodiest military coups in the continent’s
history.
Natural
resources the key to Chile’s success, says Ambassador Celso Moreno
Laval
The US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) backed a rise
to power of General Augusto Pinochet, which resulted in almost
two decades
of brutal dictatorship. Pinochet came to power in a bloody coup
that toppled democratically elected socialist president Salvador
Allende. Hundreds of regime opponents were gathered and tortured
in secret detention centers. They subsequently "disappeared."
At the same time, the period also resulted in the implementation
of early market reforms in the form of unilateral tariff cuts
that were introduced, no doubt, to favor North American capital
markets.
While the country’s political profile has changed since that
dark period, the succeeding central-left government that put
an end
to Pinochet’s rule in 1990 continued with policies of open market
reforms. As an early reformist, Chile drew great advantage from
the wave of industrialization that hit the region in the 1970s,
not least because of its huge reserves of copper – the country’s
golden resource.
“Until the 1970s, Chile was a mono producer, the mineral making
up to 70 percent of its exports. The largest copper mines are
still to be found in this country,” says Chilean Ambassador to
Hungary
Celso Moreno Laval. “Copper is often called the salary of Chile.” But
the natural resource also left Chile at the mercy of international
commodity prices. The mid-1980s demonstrated that measures
meant to diversify Chile’s economy were not strong enough. Trade
became
the primary engine of growth, but the country’s main export
item remained copper, which accounted for 30-45 percent of trade.
Foreign investment, meanwhile, was targeted primarily at the
mining industry.
When metal prices fell in the second half of the 1990s, and
the 1998 Russian crisis hit the world economy, emerging market
investors
became cautious. Chile was hit hard and was left with an economy
where consumer and government spending far outpaced growth.
Nevertheless, Chile managed to escape the fate that first hit
Mexico, and later Argentina. This was partly due to an early
response to
the over-evaluation of Chile’s currency, the peso. While most
southern countries in Latin America were lulled by large amounts
of volatile
investment capital that entered the region in the early 1990s,
Chile took notice and floated its exchange rate when Argentina
defaulted on its debt, which ended up crushing its own currency.
The Chilean government, headed by President Ricardo Lagos,
also took austerity measures to curb spending and avoid a balance-of-payment
crisis.
According to Moreno Laval, another achievement of the post-Pinochet
government was the diversification of export markets, a goal
Chile still maintains and hopes to further develop through
the EU accession
of Central and Eastern European markets. European Union-Chile
trade agreement
On Nov. 18, 2002, the European Union signed its historic Association Agreement
with Chile. The document covers political and cooperation issues. The trade chapter
establishes a free trade area in goods “covering the progressive and reciprocal
liberalization of trade in goods over a maximum transitional period of 10 years.”
Through the agreement, the liberalization of 97.1 percent of bilateral trade,
a 100 percent liberalization of industrial trade and 80.9 percent of agricultural
trade will be reached. The document also foresees the liberalization of investment.
The bulk of the trade agreement came into effect Feb. 1, 2003. The document will
fully enter into force as soon as all parliaments of EU member states ratify
the agreement. According to the EU, from 1980 to 2001, EU imports from Chile
grew an average of 6.1 percent annually and exports by 8 percent. The EU is Chile’s
largest trading partner, accounting for 25.2 percent of Chile’s total exports
and 20.9 percent of its imports.
“Until a few years ago a third of our exports went to the Americas,
another third to the Asian-Pacific region and another third to
Europe,” says Moreno Laval.
“Today they occupy around one-fourth each, with South America
representing a separate regional export market. As a result,
regional crisis
only hit a segment of our exports.”
Prudent fiscal policy bore fruit. Although Chile’s economic growth
dropped sharply from 5.4 percent GDP growth in 2000 to 2.1 percent
in 2002, in the long run the country’s economy remained stable
enough to secure trade agreements with the strongest players
of the international community.
In November 2002, Chile signed the historic Association Agreement
with the European Union, its number one trading partner. The
document went further than establishing a framework for free
trade between
Chile and the EU. The agreement, signed under the EU’s Spanish
presidency also included a political and cooperation chapter
as integral components of the deal.
Chile
plays a balancing act between regional an international trade partners
Chile also signed FTAs with South Korea, the European Free Trade
Association, consisting of Iceland, Norway, Liechtenstein and
Switzerland, and in early September, celebrated the ratification
of an FTA with
the US, its second-largest trading partner.
Such agreements are important for Chile in maintaining its
economic growth. The Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts
3.3 percent
GDP growth for 2003 and a further 4.6 percent in 2004, largely
due
to the trade agreements. Meanwhile, the EU projects that its
agreement with Chile will result in a 0.5 percent year-on-year
increase in
economic growth for the country.
Interestingly, Chile stepped out of a common round of FTA talks
with the Mercosur trading group, whose full members are Brazil,
Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay. The Mercosur group has positioned
itself as an alternative, home-grown South American trade group,
an alternative to the US-backed Free Trade Area of the Americas
(FTAA). Notwithstanding its agreement with the EU, Chile has
still expressed its commitment to Mercosur - with the eventual
goal of
upgrading its current associate status to becoming a full member
of the organization.
Playing a balancing act between its partners, Chile’s high
level of foreign trade seem to have won out – in good times
and in
bad. Hungary-Chile: meager trade figures
According to Chile’s Ambassador to Hungary, Celso Moreno Laval,
relations between the two countries are very good, while commercial
exchange remains meager, reaching less than USD 9 million a year.
The most important goods Chile exports to Hungary are maize crops,
tomato pulp and primary chemical materials. Meanwhile, its imports
from Hungary mainly consist of light bulbs, textiles and hardware.
Moreno Laval says Chile expects a considerable growth in trade
relations after Hungary’s accession to the EU on May 1, 2004. He
says that the Hungarian government expressed interest in participating
in tenders for the renewal of the public transport system in Santiago,
Chile’s capital. On the other hand, Moreno Lavel says, Chile is
interested in reaching Hungarian markets with its wine products
and sees a future for cooperation in commercial aviation, tourism
and the food industry.
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